In this paper data from a survey of 1,771 inmates conducted in 31 German prisons provide microeconometric evidence on the relationship between individual anticipated labour market opportunities and the perceived probability of future recidivism. Results show that inmates with poor labour market prospects expect a significantly higher rate of future recidivism. Having a closer look at subgroups of prisoners reveals that drug and alcohol addiction cause adverse effects. Thus, improving prisoner health care by installing effective anti-drug programmes would be one of the most effective measures against crime.
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Paper provided by Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in its series IZA Discussion Papers with number
3976.
Find related papers by JEL classification: C83 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Survey Methods; Sampling Methods J38 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Public Policy J68 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies - - - Public Policy K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
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