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The Shape of Things to Come? Assessing the Effectiveness of Suicide Attacks and Targeted Killings

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Author Info
David A. Jaeger () (College of William and Mary and IZA)
M. Daniele Paserman () (Hebrew University, NBER, CEPR and IZA)

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Abstract

In this paper we assess the effectiveness of suicide attacks and targeted killings in the Second Intifada. We find evidence that the targeted killings of Palestinian leaders by Israel reduce realized Palestinian violence. We find, however, that intended Palestinian violence is increasing at low levels of targeted killings, but decreasing at higher levels. There is little evidence to suggest that suicide bombings against Israelis reduce the number of subsequent Palestinian fatalities. Rather, we find that suicide attacks that kill at least one Israeli lead to subsequent increased incidence and levels of Palestinian fatalities. Our results do not support the notion that suicide attacks and targeted killings follow the "tit-for-tat" pattern that is commonly postulated in the literature.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in its series IZA Discussion Papers with number 2890.

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Length: 38 pages
Date of creation: Jun 2007
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Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp2890

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Related research
Keywords: suicide terrorism; targeted killings; assassinations; Second Intifada; Palestinians; Israel;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
D71 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Social Choice; Clubs; Committees; Associations
D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances
H56 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - National Security and War

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  1. Jaeger, David A & Klor, Esteban F & Miaari, Sami & Paserman, Marco Daniele, 2008. "The Struggle for Palestinian Hearts and Minds: Violence and Public Opinion in the Second Intifada," CEPR Discussion Papers 6793, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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