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The Role of Association Agreements within European Union Enlargement to Central and Eastern European Countries

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Author Info

  • Rault, Christophe

    ()
    (University of Orléans)

  • Sova, Robert

    ()
    (CREST & University of Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne)

  • Sova, Anamaria

    ()
    (E.B.R.C. Bucharest)

Abstract

The main goal of regionalization is the creation of free trade areas and the guarantee for countries to accede to a widened market. Many studies dealing with the effects of regional free trade agreements on trade flows already exist in the economic literature and the explosion in the number of regional agreements among countries has recently stressed the key role of regionalization. However, the effects of agreements on trade were sometimes contradictory in those studies. These diverging results can be explained by the potential endogeneity bias of the agreement variable. Our research in this paper aims at reassessing the genuine role of associations. For this matter, we particularly study the association of Central and Eastern European countries (CEEC) with European Union countries. Our econometric analysis based on qualitative choice models highlights in particular why European countries chose to conclude an association agreement with CEEC, and stresses the fact that European Union countries select endogenously the conclusion of association agreements. We are also particularly interested in modeling the effect of the association agreement on export performances between countries, and to quantify its impact. When considering annual data for 4 CEEC and 19 OECD countries (1990-2004), we find a 0.17 positive impact of the association agreement on bilateral exports.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in its series IZA Discussion Papers with number 2769.

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Length: 24 pages
Date of creation: Apr 2007
Date of revision:
Publication status: published in: Aussenwirtschaft : Schweizerische Zeitschrift für internationale Wirtschaftsbeziehungen /Swiss Review of International Economic Relations, 2008, Issue III
Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp2769

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Keywords: European integration; gravity model; regionalization; qualitative choice models;

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References

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Cited by:
  1. Guglielmo Caporale & Christophe Rault & Robert Sova & Anamaria Sova, 2009. "On the bilateral trade effects of free trade agreements between the EU-15 and the CEEC-4 countries," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 145(3), pages 573-573, October.
  2. Christophe Rault & Robert Sova & Ana Maria Sova, 2008. "Modeling International Trade Flows between CEEC and OECD Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 2282, CESifo Group Munich.

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