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Tenure Profiles and Efficient Separation in a Stochastic Productivity Model

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Author Info

  • Buhai, Sebastian

    ()
    (Aarhus School of Business)

  • Teulings, Coen

    ()
    (University of Cambridge)

Abstract

This paper provides a new way of analyzing tenure profiles in wages, by modelling simultaneously the evolution of wages and the distribution of tenures. We develop a theoretical model based on efficient bargaining, where both log outside wage and log wage in the current job follow a random walk, as found empirically. This setting allows the application of real option theory. We derive the efficient separation rule. The model fits the observed distribution of job tenures well. Since we observe outside wages only at job start and job separation, our empirical analysis of within job wage growth is based on expected wage growth conditional on the outside wages at both dates. Our modelling allows testing of the efficient bargaining hypothesis. The model is estimated on the PSID.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in its series IZA Discussion Papers with number 1997.

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Length: 54 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2006
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp1997

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Related research

Keywords: random productivity growth; efficient bargaining; job tenure; inverse gaussian; wage-tenure profiles; option theory;

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References

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  1. Martin A. van der Ende & Coenraad N. Teulings, 2001. "A Structural Model of Tenure and Specific Investments," CESifo Working Paper Series 532, CESifo Group Munich.
  2. Robert H. Topel & Michael P. Ward, 1988. "Job Mobility and the Careers of Young Men," NBER Working Papers 2649, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Topel, Robert H, 1991. "Specific Capital, Mobility, and Wages: Wages Rise with Job Seniority," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 99(1), pages 145-76, February.
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Cited by:
  1. Pieter A. Gautier & Coen N. Teulings, 2011. "Sorting and the Output Loss due to Search Frictions," CESifo Working Paper Series 3359, CESifo Group Munich.
  2. Buhai, Sebastian & Portela, Miguel & Teulings, Coen & van Vuuren, Aico, 2008. "Returns to Tenure or Seniority?," IZA Discussion Papers 3302, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  3. Julien Prat, 2006. "The Rate of Learning-by-Doing: Estimates from a Search-Matching Model," 2006 Meeting Papers 647, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  4. Coen Teulings, 2010. "How to Share Our Risks Efficiently? Principles for Optimal Social Insurance and Pension Provision," De Economist, Springer, vol. 158(1), pages 1-21, April.

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