Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login

Will There Be a Shortage of Skilled Labor? An East German Perspective to 2015

Contents:

Author Info

  • Herbert S. Buscher
  • Eva Dettmann
  • Marco Sunder
  • Dirk Trocka
Registered author(s):

    Abstract

    We analyze the supply and demand of skilled labor in an East German federal state, Thuringia. This state has been facing high unemployment in the course of economic transformation and experiences population ageing and shrinking more rapidly than most West European regions. In a first step, we use extrapolation techniques to forecast labor supply and demand for the period 2009-2015, disaggregated by type of qualification. The analysis does not corroborate the notion of an imminent skilled-labor shortage but provides hints for a tightening labor market for skilled workers. In the second step, we ask firms about their appraisal of future recruitment conditions, and both current and planned strategies in the context of personnel management. The majority of firms plan to expand further education efforts and hire older workers. The study closes with policy recommendations to prevent occupational mismatch.

    Download Info

    If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
    File URL: http://www.iwh-halle.de/d/publik/disc/13-09.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Halle Institute for Economic Research in its series IWH Discussion Papers with number 13.

    as in new window
    Length:
    Date of creation: Jun 2009
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:iwh:dispap:13-09

    Contact details of provider:
    Postal: Kleine Märkerstrasse 8, 06108 Halle (Saale)
    Phone: (0345) 7753-60
    Fax: (0345) 7753-820
    Web page: http://www.iwh-halle.de
    More information through EDIRC

    Related research

    Keywords: demographic change; labor demand for high-skilled workers; labor force forecast; vocational training;

    Find related papers by JEL classification:

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    References

    No references listed on IDEAS
    You can help add them by filling out this form.

    Citations

    Lists

    This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:iwh:dispap:13-09. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Hubert Gabrisch).

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

    If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.