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Ins and Outs of the Long-Run Unemployment Dynamics

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Abstract

This paper studies the contribution of inflow and outflow rates to the unemployment dynamics in the long-run. I find that in the U.S., both inflow and outflow rates contribute significantly to variation in the long-run trend of the unemployment rate. Inflow and outflow rates account for roughly similar proportions of overall unemployment variability in the long-run.

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File URL: http://www.iuj.ac.jp/workingpapers/index.cfm?File=EMS_2011_07.pdf
File Function: First version, 2011
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Research Institute, International University of Japan in its series Working Papers with number EMS_2011_07.

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Length: 10 pages
Date of creation: Feb 2011
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:iuj:wpaper:ems_2011_07

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Keywords: Unemployment dynamics; Job finding rate; Separation rate; Long-run unemployment;

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  1. Shigeru Fujita & Garey Ramey, 2007. "The cyclicality of separation and job finding rates," Working Papers 07-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
  2. Barbara Petrongolo & Christopher A. Pissarides, 2008. "The Ins and Outs of European Unemployment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(2), pages 256-62, May.
  3. Robert Shimer, 2012. "Reassessing the Ins and Outs of Unemployment," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 15(2), pages 127-148, April.
  4. Marianne Baxter & Robert G. King, 1995. "Measuring Business Cycles Approximate Band-Pass Filters for Economic Time Series," NBER Working Papers 5022, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. Dale T. Mortensen & Christopher A. Pissarides, 1993. "Job Creation and Job Destruction in the Theory of Unemployment," CEP Discussion Papers dp0110, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
  6. Michael W. Elsby & Ryan Michaels & Gary Solon, 2007. "The Ins and Outs of Cyclical Unemployment," NBER Working Papers 12853, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Hodrick, Robert J & Prescott, Edward C, 1997. "Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 29(1), pages 1-16, February.
  8. Christopher A. Pissarides, 2000. "Equilibrium Unemployment Theory, 2nd Edition," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262161877, December.
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