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China's Accession to the WTO: What is at Stake for Agricultural Markets?

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  • Fuller, Frank H.
  • Beghin, John C.
  • Fabiosa, Jacinto F.
  • Fang, Cheng
  • Matthey, Holger
  • DeCara, Stephane

Abstract

The authors analyze the impact of China?s accession to the World Trade Organization on major crop and livestock markets using the FAPRI modeling framework. They incorporate expected changes in consumer income, textile production, and trade policies as exogenous shocks to the baseline model. Following accession, revenues decline in China?s livestock, grain, and oilseed industries, while cotton production prospers despite increased cotton imports. Chinese consumers benefit from lower food prices, with vegetable oil, dairy, and meat consumption increasing significantly. Argentina, Brazil, Canada, the European Union, and the United States are the greatest beneficiaries from expanded agricultural trade with China.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Iowa State University, Department of Economics in its series Staff General Research Papers with number 2085.

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Date of creation: 01 Jan 2003
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Publication status: Published in Review of Agricultural Economics 2003, vol. 25 no. 2, pp. 399-414
Handle: RePEc:isu:genres:2085

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Postal: Iowa State University, Dept. of Economics, 260 Heady Hall, Ames, IA 50011-1070
Phone: +1 515.294.6741
Fax: +1 515.294.0221
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Web page: http://www.econ.iastate.edu
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References

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  1. Ianchovichina, Elena & Martin, Will, 2001. "Trade liberalization in China's accession to the World Trade Organization," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2623, The World Bank.
  2. repec:jaa:jagape:v:30:y:1998:i:1:p:127-40 is not listed on IDEAS
  3. Wang, Qingbin & Fuller, Frank H. & Hayes, Dermot J. & Halbrendt, Catherine, 1998. "Chinese Consumer Demand for Animal Products and Implications for U.S. Pork and Poultry Exports," Staff General Research Papers 1163, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  4. Huang, Jikun & Rozelle, Scott, 1996. "Technological change: Rediscovering the engine of productivity growth in China's rural economy," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 337-369, May.
  5. Dermot J. Hayes & Roxanne Clemens, 1997. "Chinese Market for U.S. Pork Exports, The," Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) Publications 97-bp14, Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) at Iowa State University.
  6. Huang, Jikun & Chen, Chunlai, 1999. "Effects of Trade Liberalization on Agriculture in China: Commodity Aspects," Working Papers 32665, United Nations Centre for Alleviation of Poverty Through Secondary Crops' Development in Asia and the Pacific (CAPSA).
  7. Fan, Shenggan & Pardey, Philip G., 1997. "Research, productivity, and output growth in Chinese agriculture," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 115-137, June.
  8. Fang, Cheng & Beghin, John C., 2003. "Protection and Comparative Advantage of Chinese Agriculture: Implications for Regional and National Specialization," Staff General Research Papers 10102, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  9. Babcock, Bruce A. & Beghin, John C. & Fuller, Frank H. & Mohanty, Samarendu & Fabiosa, Jacinto F. & Kaus, Phillip J. & Fang, Cheng & Hart, Chad E. & Matthey, Holger & de Cara, Stephane & Kovarik, Kare, 2001. "FAPRI 2001 U.S. and World Agricultural Outlook," Staff Reports 32052, Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI).
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Cited by:
  1. Fang, Cheng & Beghin, John C., 2001. "Urban Demand for Edible Oils and Fats in China. Evidence from Household Survey Data," 2001 Conference (45th), January 23-25, 2001, Adelaide 125620, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
  2. Anonymous, 2005. "Articles from Volume 1, Issue 1, 2005, Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development," Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, vol. 1(1).
  3. Alan Matthews, 2001. "The Possible Impact of China's WTO Membership on the WTO Agricultural Negotiations," Trinity Economics Papers 200115, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
  4. Christophe Charlier, 2012. "Distrust and Barriers to International Trade in Food Products: An Analysis of the US — Poultry Dispute," GREDEG Working Papers 2012-02, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), University of Nice Sophia Antipolis, revised Nov 2013.
  5. Nin, Alejandro & Hertel, Thomas W. & Foster, Kenneth & Rae, Allan, 2004. "Productivity growth, catching-up and uncertainty in China's meat trade," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 1-16, July.

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