Effects of Uncertainty on Optimal Nitrogen Applications (The)
AbstractOptimal nitrogen fertilizer rates for risk-neutral producers may increase if uncertainty about the weather or uncertainty about soil nitrogen levels exist. Decision criteria such as, "fertilizing for the good years" or "applying a little extra fertilizer just in case it is needed," may be consistent with expected profit maximization. These results contrast with the standard prescription that producers should reduce fertilizer applications because nitrogen fertilizer typically increases yield variance. The motivation for increasing nitrogen fertilizer applications is self-protection: farmers find it profitable to reduce the probability that they might be "caught short" of fertilizer.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Iowa State University, Department of Economics in its series Staff General Research Papers with number 10588.
Date of creation: 01 Jan 1992
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in Review of Agricultural Economics 1992, vol. 14, pp. 271-280
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Postal: Iowa State University, Dept. of Economics, 260 Heady Hall, Ames, IA 50011-1070
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