The paper puts the collapse of the world trade volume in 2009 into two historic perspectives. First, the paper analyses 18 major post-1980 / pre-2007 financial crises and uses these observations as a basis to critically evaluate presently available projections for world trade. Second, the paper takes into account the developments in the world's trade volume and openness since 1880. Next to the direct impact of the present financial crisis on trade, potential second order effects on economic growth and international political relations are identified.
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Find related papers by JEL classification: F01 - International Economics - - General - - - Global Outlook F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
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