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The Seismography of Crashes in Financial Markets

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Author Info
Tanya Araujo
Francisco Louçã

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Abstract

This paper investigates the dynamics of stocks in the S&P500 for the last 33 years, considering the population of all companies present in the index for the whole period. Using a stochastic geometry tech- nique and defining a robust index of the dynamics of the market struc- ture, which is able to provide information about the intensity of the crises, the paper proposes a seismographic classification of the crashes that occurred during the period. The index is used in order to inves- tigate and to classify the impact of the twelve crashes between July 1973 and March 2006 and to discuss the available evidence of change of structure after the fin de sicle.

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File URL: http://pascal.iseg.utl.pt/~depeco/wp/wp052007.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Department of Economics at the School of Economics and Management (ISEG), Technical University of Lisbon. in its series Working Papers with number 2007/05.

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Date of creation: Mar 2007
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Handle: RePEc:ise:isegwp:wp52007

Contact details of provider:
Postal: Department of Economics, School of Economics and Management (ISEG), Technical University of Lisbon, Rua do Quelhas 6, 1200-781 LISBON, PORTUGAL
Web page: http://www.iseg.utl.pt/departamentos/economia/

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Related research
Keywords: Keywords: financial markets; stochastic geometry; complexity; market spaces; market structures.;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C0 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General
G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Tanya Araújo & Francisco Louçã, 2007. "The geometry of crashes. A measure of the dynamics of stock market crises," Quantitative Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 63-74. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Tanya Araujo & Francisco Louçã, 2005. "The Geometry of Crashes - A Measure of the Dynamics of Stock Market Crises," Working Papers 2005/15, Department of Economics at the School of Economics and Management (ISEG), Technical University of Lisbon.. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Tanya Araújo & Francisco Louçã, 2008. "Bargaining Clouds, or Mathematics as a Metaphoric Exploration of the Unexpected," Working Papers 2008/27, Department of Economics at the School of Economics and Management (ISEG), Technical University of Lisbon.. [Downloadable!]
Statistics
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-20.


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