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Determinants of non-resident government debt ownership

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  • António Afonso
  • Jorge Silva

Abstract

We examine the determinants of non-resident government debt ownership, accounting for domestic and external factors and financial variables during the period 2000Q2-2014Q4, focussing on a small euro area open economy: Portugal. Our results show that better fiscal positions, higher systematic stress in Europe, and higher shares of MFI cross-border holdings of public debt, increase the share of non-resident held debt, and rising sovereign yields decrease that ratio. Key Words – sovereign debt, central bank, financial markets, monetary and financial institutions, Portugal.

Suggested Citation

  • António Afonso & Jorge Silva, 2016. "Determinants of non-resident government debt ownership," Working Papers Department of Economics 2016/03, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
  • Handle: RePEc:ise:isegwp:wp032016
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mr. Ali J Al-Eyd & Pelin Berkmen, 2013. "Fragmentation and Monetary Policy in the Euro Area," IMF Working Papers 2013/208, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2010. "Growth in a Time of Debt," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(2), pages 573-578, May.
    3. David Stadelmann & Reiner Eichenberger, 2014. "Public debts capitalize into property prices: empirical evidence for a new perspective on debt incidence," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 21(3), pages 498-529, June.
    4. Kremer, Manfred & Lo Duca, Marco & Holló, Dániel, 2012. "CISS - a composite indicator of systemic stress in the financial system," Working Paper Series 1426, European Central Bank.
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    6. Ricardo Reis, 2013. "The Portugese Slump and Crash and the Euro Crisis," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 44(1 (Spring), pages 143-210.
    7. Paul Krugman & Gauti B. Eggertsson, 2011. "Debt, Deleveraging and the Liquidity Trap," 2011 Meeting Papers 1166, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    8. Ricardo Reis, 2013. "The Portugese Slump and Crash and the Euro Crisis," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 44(1 (Spring), pages 143-210.
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    Cited by:

    1. João Tovar Jalles, 2018. "What determines the share of non-resident public debt ownership? Evidence from Euro Area countries," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 14(3), pages 379-414, August.
    2. Jorge Silva, 2020. "Impact of public and private sector external debt on economic growth: the case of Portugal," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 10(4), pages 607-634, December.
    3. Jorge Silva, 2018. "Impact of public and private sector external debt on economic growth," Working Papers REM 2018/24, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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