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Economic integration and industrial sector fluctuations: evidence from Italy

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Author Info
Tatiana Cesaroni (MEF)

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Abstract

This paper investigates the underlying sources of the Italian industrial sector fluctuations. It concentrates in particular on the role of different shocks on the manufacturing business cycle. To this end, it considers both domestic shocks (to hours worked and to technology) and external shocks (i.e. competitiveness and world trade shocks). The former concern internal conditions such as labour market and productivity dynamics; the latter relate to the effects of economic integration, globalization and the world economy scenario on the manufacturing sector performance. The findings show that although the cyclical fluctuations are mainly determined by productivity shock, hours worked and world trade shocks also contribute significantly to explaining the manufacturing business cycle.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by ISAE - Institute for Studies and Economic Analyses - (Rome, ITALY) in its series ISAE Working Papers with number 106.

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Length: 20 pages
Date of creation: Oct 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:isa:wpaper:106

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Related research
Keywords: Business cycle; Italian Industry performance; SVAR model; Economic integration; World trade;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Funke, Michael, 1997. "The Nature of Shocks in Europe and in Germany," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 64(255), pages 461-69, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Gert Peersman, 2005. "What caused the early millennium slowdown? Evidence based on vector autoregressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(2), pages 185-207. [Downloadable!]
  3. Bayoumi, Tamim & Eichengreen, Barry, 1992. "Shocking Aspects of European Monetary Unification," CEPR Discussion Papers 643, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Funke, Michael, 1997. "How important are demand and supply shocks in explaining German business cycles?: New evidence on an old debate," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 11-37, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Karras, Georgios, 1994. "Sources of business cycles in Europe: 1960-1988. Evidence from France, Germany, and the United Kingdom," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(9), pages 1763-1778, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Bela Balassa, 1964. "The Purchasing-Power Parity Doctrine: A Reappraisal," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 72, pages 584. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Dufourt, 2005. "Demand and productivity components of business cycles: Estimates and implications," Macroeconomics 0501013, EconWPA, revised 08 Sep 2005. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  8. Morten O. Ravn & Saverio Simonelli, 2008. "Labor Market Dynamics and the Business Cycle: Structural Evidence for the United States," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 109(4), pages 743-777, 03. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  9. Hilde C. Bjørnland, 1998. "Economic Fluctuations in a Small Open Economy – Real versus Nominal Shocks," Discussion Papers 215, Research Department of Statistics Norway. [Downloadable!]
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