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Changes in the patterns of poverty duration in Germany, 1992-2009

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  • KYZYMA Iryna
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    Abstract

    Using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel, this study explores how the duration of poverty and its determinants evolved in Germany between the early 1990s and the late 2000s. Shifts in the duration of poverty over time are captured with the application of a rolling window framework which allows us to identify when exactly a change occurred and to link it to trends in general macro-economic conditions and social policies. Joint modeling of poverty and non-poverty spells, controlling for unobserved heterogeneity, is applied within each window in order to uncover how the poverty experiences of individuals with different socio-economic characteristics have evolved over time. The results indicate that poverty has become more persistent and recurrent in Germany since the beginning of the 1990s. While those living in East Germany and in households with an EU head partially improved their situation over time, individuals over 55 years old, households with a disabled or uneducated head as well as single parent households have become more prone to poverty.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by CEPS/INSTEAD in its series CEPS/INSTEAD Working Paper Series with number 2013-06.

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    Length: 36 pages
    Date of creation: Apr 2013
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:irs:cepswp:2013-06

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    Keywords: poverty duration; multiple spells; temporal changes; SOEP;

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    1. Michael Fertig & Marcus Tamm, 2007. "Always Poor or Never Poor and Nothing in Between? Duration of Child Poverty in Germany," Working Papers, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality 59, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.
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    17. repec:iab:iabzaf:v:40:i:1:p:45-64 is not listed on IDEAS
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    19. Bonin, Holger, 2001. "Will it Last? An Assessment of the 2001 German Pension Reform," IZA Discussion Papers 343, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
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