Impacto de Reformas Paramétricas na Previdência Social Brasileira: Simulações Alternativas
AbstractThis paper simulates the effects of parametric reforms in the pension system, and the main results are: a) the present value of the implicit debt is equivalent to 1,9 GDPs of the year 2005; b) interruption of real increases in the value of minimum pension benefit from 2011 on would reduce the implicit debt; c) parametric measures could reduce the actuarial debt to about 40% to 60% of its present levels; d) measures of greater impact would be the establishment of a minimum required age of 65 for the new workers, as well as the gradual increase for 64 years, for the current workers; e) increasing the required age for Loas and reducing the value of it to 75% of the basic benefit for future concessions would have important fiscal impacts.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA in its series Discussion Papers with number 1289.
Length: 48 pages
Date of creation: Jul 2007
Date of revision:
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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2007-08-08 (All new papers)
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- Bernardo Lanza Queiroz & Moema Gonçalves Bueno Figoli, 2011. "Population aging and the rising costs of public pension in Brazil," Textos para DiscussÃ£o Cedeplar-UFMG td438, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
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