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Impacto de Reformas Paramétricas na Previdência Social Brasileira: Simulações Alternativas

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  • Fabio Giambiagi
  • Hélio Zylberstajn
  • Luís Eduardo Afonso
  • André Portela Souza
  • Eduardo Zylberstajn

Abstract

This paper simulates the effects of parametric reforms in the pension system, and the main results are: a) the present value of the implicit debt is equivalent to 1,9 GDPs of the year 2005; b) interruption of real increases in the value of minimum pension benefit from 2011 on would reduce the implicit debt; c) parametric measures could reduce the actuarial debt to about 40% to 60% of its present levels; d) measures of greater impact would be the establishment of a minimum required age of 65 for the new workers, as well as the gradual increase for 64 years, for the current workers; e) increasing the required age for Loas and reducing the value of it to 75% of the basic benefit for future concessions would have important fiscal impacts.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA in its series Discussion Papers with number 1289.

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Length: 48 pages
Date of creation: Jul 2007
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ipe:ipetds:1289

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