Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login

Pensiones en Chile: ¿Qué Hubiese Ocurrido sin la Reforma de 1981?

Contents:

Author Info

  • Rodrigo Cerda

    ()
    (Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile.)

Abstract

Este documento discute qué hubiese ocurrido en la economía chilena si no se hubiera realizado la reforma de pensiones de 1981. El énfasis de la discusión se pone en la sustentabilidad fiscal del sistema de pensiones, su grado de cobertura, niveles de pensiones y su impacto en la acumulación de capital, empleo y PIB. Para realizar esta discusión, este documento realiza ejercicios de simulación de un modelo macroeconómico. Los resultados de nuestro ejercicio se pueden clasificar en tres categorías: (a) situación financiera del sistema de reparto, (b) situación del sistema de pensiones en términos de cobertura y pensiones y (c) efectos macroeconómicos. Nuestras simulaciones indican que el sistema mostraba altos y crecientes déficits desde el año 2000 en adelante. La discusión relativa a la cobertura de pensiones y el monto de las pensiones trae ciertos resultados a destacar. En primer lugar la cobertura de beneficios es cercana al 40% en el largo plazo, y una fracción muy significativa recibe pensiones mínimas. Más aún, nuestros resultados muestran que el monto de las pensiones promedio que se obtienen en el sistema son relativamente modestas. En relación a los impactos macroeconómicos, el trabajo encuentra impactos a partir de los cambios en decisiones de ahorro de los hogares.

Download Info

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
File URL: http://www.economia.puc.cl/docs/dt_310.pdf
Download Restriction: no

Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. in its series Documentos de Trabajo with number 310.

as in new window
Length:
Date of creation: 2006
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ioe:doctra:310

Contact details of provider:
Postal: Avda. Vicuña Mackenna 4860, Macul, Santiago
Phone: (562) 354-4303
Fax: (562) 553-1664
Email:
Web page: http://www.economia.puc.cl
More information through EDIRC

Related research

Keywords:

References

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
as in new window
  1. Dominique Hachette, 1998. "Ahorro Privado en Chile," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 35(104), pages 3-48.
  2. Rodrigo Cerda, 2005. "On social security financial crisis," Journal of Population Economics, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 509-517, 09.
  3. Feldstein, Martin & Liebman, Jeffrey B., 2002. "Social security," Handbook of Public Economics, in: A. J. Auerbach & M. Feldstein (ed.), Handbook of Public Economics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 32, pages 2245-2324 Elsevier.
  4. Sebastian Edwards & Alejandra Cox Edwards, 2002. "Social Security Privatization Reform and Labor Markets: The Case of Chile," NBER Working Papers 8924, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

Citations

Lists

This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

Statistics

Access and download statistics

Corrections

When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ioe:doctra:310. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Jaime Casassus).

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.