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Social Security Financial Crises

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Author Info
Rodrigo Cerda () (Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile.)

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Abstract

This paper explores the causes of the social security financial crises. We indicate that the financial crisis might be endogenous to the social security system. The main idea is that the PAYG social security system might affect fertility and human capital's decisions and therefore, may negatively impact the aggregated growth rate of the economy. These effects lead to an endogenous erosion of the financial basis of the PAYG social security program so that, as a consequence, the PAYG system is not sustainable and it requires continuous increases in the social security tax rate.

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File URL: http://www.economia.puc.cl/index/download.asp?id_publicacion=871
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. in its series Documentos de Trabajo with number 252.

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Date of creation: 2003
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Handle: RePEc:ioe:doctra:252

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Related research
Keywords: Pay-as-you-go social security; demographic transition; financial crisis;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Junsen Zhang & Junxi Zhang, 1998. "Social Security, Intergenerational Transfers, and Endogenous Growth," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 31(5), pages 1225-1241, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Ehrlich, Isaac & Zhong, Jian-Guo, 1998. "Social Security and the Real Economy: An Inquiry into Some Neglected Issues," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(2), pages 151-57, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Cigno, Alessandro, 1992. "Children and Pensions," Journal of Population Economics, Springer, vol. 5(3), pages 175-83, August.
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  4. Cigno, Alessandro, 1995. "Public pensions with endogenous fertility: Comment on Nishimura and Zhang," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 169-173, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Gary S. Becker & Kevin M. Murphy & Robert F. Tamura, 1990. "Human Capital, Fertility, and Economic Growth," NBER Working Papers 3414, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Nishimura, Kazuo & Zhang, Junsen, 1992. "Pay-as-you-go public pensions with endogenous fertility," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 239-258, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Zhang, Jie, 1995. "Social security and endogenous growth," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(2), pages 185-213, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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