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Je t'aime, moi non plus: Bilateral opinions and international trade

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  • Anne-Celia Disdier

    ()
    (Economie Publique, INRA)

  • Thierry Mayer

    (Université Paris 1)

Abstract

Cet article étudie la relation existant entre le commerce international et les opinions. Les auteurs utilisent pour ce faire les sondages de l’opinion publique Eurobaromètre, publiés par la Commission Européenne, qui fournissent des données sur la part de la population dans chaque pays membre de l’Union Européenne en faveur de l’élargissement à chaque PECO candidat à l’adhésion. Les résultats suggèrent tout d’abord que les opinions bilatérales ont un effet statistiquement robuste et relativement important sur les importations, même lorsque les auteurs contrôlent les différentes formes de proximité existant entre les pays. Ils interprètent cet effet comme le reflet d’un impact positif de “l’affinité bilatérale†sur la structure des échanges. Ils montrent également qu’il est possible d’expliquer en partie la variance des opinions bilatérales observée au sein de leur échantillon. Enfin, ils proposent une analyse préliminaire de la relation de causalité entre les opinions bilatérales et les importations.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique, France in its series Working Papers with number 9044.

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Length: 1140-1159
Date of creation: 2007
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in European Journal of Political Economy
Handle: RePEc:inr:wpaper:9044

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Keywords: SONDAGE D'OPINION; union européennecommerce international; opinion; adhésion à l'union européenne;

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