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Is India ready for flexible inflation-targeting?

Author

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  • Abhijit Sen Gupta

    (Asian Development Bank)

  • Rajeswari Sengupta

    (Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research)

Abstract

In this paper we analyze whether the current macroeconomic environment in India is suitable for implementation of inflation targeting as a monetary policy strategy, in light of the recommendation of the Urjit Patel Committee Report. Our results indicate that historically the Reserve Bank of India has given more importance to inflation compared to output growth and exchange rate changes in its monetary policy conduct and that in recent times there has been an increased emphasis on monetary independence thereby comfortably placing the RBI on a path to move towards flexible inflation targeting. However we also find factors, which are traditionally outside the control of monetary policy do exert a strong impact on aggregate prices in India thereby making the choice of nominal anchor a tricky one. Furthermore, the success of monetary policy in containing inflation is found to be crucially contingent on an appropriate fiscal policy as well.

Suggested Citation

  • Abhijit Sen Gupta & Rajeswari Sengupta, 2014. "Is India ready for flexible inflation-targeting?," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2014-019, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    • Handle: RePEc:ind:igiwpp:2014-019
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    Cited by:

    1. Chertman, Fernando & Hutchison, Michael & Zink, David, 2020. "Facing the Quadrilemma: Taylor rules, intervention policy and capital controls in large emerging markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    2. Charan Singh, 2015. "Inflation Targeting India: Select Issues," Working Papers id:7002, eSocialSciences.
    3. Charan Singh, 2015. "Inflation Targeting in India: Select Issues," Working Papers id:7131, eSocialSciences.
    4. M. R. Anantha Ramu & K. Gayithri, 2017. "Fiscal deficit and inflation linkages in India: tracking the transmission channels," Journal of Social and Economic Development, Springer;Institute for Social and Economic Change, vol. 19(1), pages 1-24, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Reserve Bank of India; Monetary Policy; Taylor Rule; Financial trilemma; Inflation; Nominal anchor; Fiscal deficit;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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