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Implications for Savings of Aging in the Asian "Tigers"

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  • Steven A. Symansky
  • Peter S. Heller

Abstract

Significant aging is projected for many high-saving emerging economies of East and Southeast Asia. By 2025, the share of the elderly in their populations will at least double in most of these countries. The share of the young will fall. Aging populations could adversely affect saving rates in these economies, particularly after 2025. For the world, one may observe that, initially, the Asian Tigers could become increasingly important for world savings, reflecting their increased weight in the world economy, their high saving and growth rates, and the aging of the industrial countries. After 2025, the aging of the Tigers may reinforce the tendency toward a declining world saving rate.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 97/136.

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Length: 42
Date of creation: 01 Oct 1997
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:97/136

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Cited by:
  1. Jane Golley & Rod Tyers, 2006. "Demographic Change and the Labour Supply Constraint," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics 2006-467, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
  2. Doh-Khul Kim & Hyungsoo Kim, 2006. "Aging and Savings in Korea: A Time-Series Approach," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer, Springer, vol. 12(3), pages 374-381, August.
  3. John Janssen, 2002. "Long-term fiscal projections and their relationship with the intertemporal budget constraint: An application to New Zealand," Treasury Working Paper Series 02/05, New Zealand Treasury.
  4. Rod Tyers & Jane Golley, 2006. "China's Growth to 2030: The Roles of Demographic Change and Investment Premia," PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging 1206, Program on the Global Demography of Aging.
  5. Rod Tyers & Jane Golley & Bu Yongxiang & Iain Bain, 2007. "China's Economic Growth and its Real Exchange Rate," DEGIT Conference Papers, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade c012_014, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade.
  6. F. Gerard Adams & Byron Gangnes, 2000. "Will Japan's Current Account Turn to Deficit?," Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics 200010, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
  7. Heller, Peter S., 1999. "Aging in Asia: Challenges for fiscal policy," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 37-63.
  8. Rod Tyers & Jane Golley, 2006. "China's Growth to 2030: Demographic Change and the Labour Supply Constraint," PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging 1106, Program on the Global Demography of Aging.
  9. Kevin C. Cheng, 2003. "Economic Implications of China's Demographics in the 21st Century," IMF Working Papers 03/29, International Monetary Fund.
  10. Rod Tyers & Jane Golley, 2006. "China's Growth to 2030: The Roles of Demographic Change and Investment Risk," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics 2006-461, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
  11. M. Wakabayashi & F.L. MacKellar, 1999. "Demographic Trends and Household Saving in China," Working Papers, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis ir99057, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.

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