Efficient Arbitrage Under Financial Indexation
AbstractLegal restrictions governing financial transactions in Chile have produced a system in which most financial assets are either 30-day non-indexed assets or 90-day indexed assets. This paper analyzes data on the rates of return of these assets to determine the extent to which efficient arbitrage takes place under conditions of partial financial indexation. The data cannot reject the joint hypothesis that participants in financial markets formulate their expectations rationally and that these markets operate efficiently. The data also shows that the indexed/non-indexed interest spread is an accurate predictor of future changes in inflation. The significant implications of these findings for the conduct of monetary policy are also discussed in some detail.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 91/49.
Date of creation: 01 May 1991
Date of revision:
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Postal: International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA
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Web page: http://www.imf.org/external/pubind.htm
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