Okun's Law: Fit at 50?
Abstract
This paper asks how well Okun's Law fits short-run unemployment movements in the United States since 1948 and in twenty advanced economies since 1980. We find that Okun's Law isa strong and stable relationship in most countries, one that did not change substantiallyduring the Great Recession. Accounts of breakdowns in the Law, such as the emergence of'jobless recoveries,' are flawed. We also find that the coefficient in the relationship-the effect of a one percent change in output on the unemployment rate-varies substantially across countries. This variation is partly explained by idiosyncratic features of national labormarkets, but it is not related to differences in employment protection legislation.Download Info
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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 13/10.Length: 40
Date of creation: 14 Jan 2013
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Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:13/10
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Related research
Keywords: Unemployment; United States; Developed countries; Labor markets; Cross country analysis; Economic models; Unemploymnent; Okun's law; Economic fluctuations.;Other versions of this item:
- Laurence Ball & Daniel Leigh & Prakash Loungani, 2012. "Okun's Law: Fit at 50?," Economics Working Paper Archive 606, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics.
- NEP-ALL-2013-02-16 (All new papers)
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