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Risk Sharing and Financial Contagion in Asia: An Asset Price Perspective

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  • Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul

Abstract

This paper assesses financial integration in Asia in terms of risk-sharing benefit versus financial-contagion cost. We construct a new measure of risk sharing based on a term structure model, which allows identification of realized stochastic discount factors. Risk sharing is low in Asia, and varies across time and countries, whereas contagion risks are more significant intra-regionally, and relatively stable over the past decade. An overall tradeoff exists between risk sharing and contagion, but the terms of tradeoffs vary across countries, depending on relative economic fluctuations and inflation differentials. Asia, therefore, can potentially enhance risk sharing without raising contagion risk.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 11/242.

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Length: 41
Date of creation: 01 Oct 2011
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:11/242

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Related research

Keywords: Asia; Risk management; Interest rates; Bonds;

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References

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  1. Stefano Battiston & Domenico Delli Gatti & Mauro Gallegati & Bruce C. Greenwald & Joseph E. Stiglitz, 2009. "Liaisons Dangereuses: Increasing Connectivity, Risk Sharing, and Systemic Risk," NBER Working Papers 15611, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2007. "Measuring financial asset return and volatility spillovers, with application to global equity markets," CFS Working Paper Series 2007/02, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
  3. Simon Gray & Andreas Jobst & Joshua Felman & Ana Carvajal, 2011. "Developing ASEAN5 Bond Markets: What Still Needs to be Done?," IMF Working Papers 11/135, International Monetary Fund.
  4. Masten, Arjana Brezigar & Coricelli, Fabrizio & Masten, Igor, 2008. "Non-linear growth effects of financial development: Does financial integration matter?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 295-313, March.
  5. Reza Siregar & Ramkishen Rajan & Tony Cavoli, 2004. "A Survey of Financial Integration in East Asia; How Far? How Much Further to Go?," Centre for International Economic Studies Working Papers 2004-01, University of Adelaide, Centre for International Economic Studies.
  6. Robert F. Engle & Giampiero M. Gallo & Margherita Velucchi, 2008. "A MEM-based Analysis of Volatility Spillovers in East Asian Financial Markets," Econometrics Working Papers Archive wp2008_09, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
  7. Akito Matsumoto & Robert P. Flood & Nancy P. Marion, 2009. "International Risk Sharing During the Globalization Era," IMF Working Papers 09/209, International Monetary Fund.
  8. Gebka, Bartosz & Serwa, Dobromil, 2007. "Intra- and inter-regional spillovers between emerging capital markets around the world," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 203-221, June.
  9. Eduardo Borensztein & Prakash Loungani, 2011. "Asian Financial Integration: Trends and Interruptions," IMF Working Papers 11/4, International Monetary Fund.
  10. Leslie Teo & David Cowen & Hemant Shah & Ranil Salgado & Alessandro Zanello, 2006. "Financial Integration in Asia: Recent Developments and Next Steps," IMF Working Papers 06/196, International Monetary Fund.
  11. Adrian, Tobias & Crump, Richard K. & Moench, Emanuel, 2013. "Pricing the term structure with linear regressions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(1), pages 110-138.
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Cited by:
  1. Azis, Iwan J., 2013. "Inadequate Regional Financial Safety Nets Reflect Complacency," ADBI Working Papers 411, Asian Development Bank Institute.
  2. Selim Elekdag & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul & Yiqun Wu, 2012. "The Evolution of Asian Financial Linkages: Key Determinants and the Role of Policy," IMF Working Papers 12/262, International Monetary Fund.

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