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Assessing Systemic Trade Interconnectedness

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  • Alexander Massara
  • Luca Errico
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    Abstract

    The paper focuses on systemically important jurisdictions in the global trade network, complementing recent IMF work on systemically important financial sectors. Using the IMF''s Direction of Trade Statistics (DOTS) database and network analysis, the paper develops a framework for ranking jurisdictions based on trade size and trade interconnectedness indicators using data for 2000 and 2010. The results show a near perfect overlap between the top 25 systemically important trade and financial jurisdictions, suggesting that these ought to be the focus of risk-based surveillance on cross-border spillovers and contagion. In addition, a number of extensions to the approach are developed that can provide a better understanding of trade dynamics at the bilateral, regional, and global levels.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 11/214.

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    Length: 24
    Date of creation: 01 Sep 2011
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:11/214

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    Related research

    Keywords: Trade; Direction of trade; Trade integration; trade sector; global trade; financial sector; trading partners; trade relationships; domestic demand; international trade; bilateral trade; world trade; financial institutions; transmission of shocks; export structure; regional trade;

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