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Cyclicality of Revenue and Structural Balances in South Africa

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Author Info

  • Burcu Aydin

Abstract

This paper applies a disaggregated method for the calculation of the cyclical component of the budget balance for South Africa with an emphasis on the effect of commodity and asset prices, and credit cycle. Results show that the cyclicality of tax revenue is mostly explained by the variations in tax bases. Change in the credit to private sector also has some affect on the revenue performance; however, asset and commodity prices are not significant in explaining the deviation of revenue from its trend. Nonetheless, quantitative effects of these prices are subject to assumptions used for long-run price levels.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 10/216.

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Length: 24
Date of creation: 01 Sep 2010
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:10/216

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Related research

Keywords: Bank credit; Budgets; Commodity prices; Credit expansion; Economic models; Tax bases; Tax collection; Tax revenues;

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References

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  1. Charl Jooste & Ruthira Naraidoo, 2010. "Nonlinear Tax Elasticities And Their Implications For The Structural Budget Balance," Working Papers 201022, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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Cited by:
  1. Tigran Poghosyan, 2011. "Assessing the Variability of Tax Elasticities in Lithuania," IMF Working Papers 11/270, International Monetary Fund.

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