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Data Dissemination Standards and the Statistical Quality of the IMF’s World Economic Outlook Forecasts

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  • Mico Mrkaic
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    Abstract

    This paper analyzes the effects of IMF member countries participation in the IMF’s Data Standards Initiatives (DSI) on the statistical quality of WEO forecasts. Results show that WEO forecasts for SDDS subscribers are in general better than for GDDS participants and those member countries than do not participate in the DSIs. Policy implications are that the DSI positively affect the statistical quality of forecasts and by extension improve the necessary conditions for multilateral surveillance and the provision of member countries with high quality policy advice.

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    File URL: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.aspx?sk=24185
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 10/203.

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    Length: 21
    Date of creation: 01 Sep 2010
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:10/203

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    Related research

    Keywords: Data quality assessment framework; Economic forecasting; General Data Dissemination System; Government finance statistics; Members; Special Data Dissemination Standard; World Economic Outlook; inflation; statistics; variance analysis; probability; correlation; inflation rate; annual inflation; forecasting; correlations; statistic; covariance; descriptive statistics; annual inflation rate; correlation analysis; inflation forecasts; sample mean; time series; probability distributions; statistical tests; kurtosis; normal distribution; equation; standard deviations; covariance analysis; inflation rates; inflation data; forecasting inflation; standard deviation; skewness; probability density; statistical analysis; probability distribution; error variance; outliers; statistical methods; time series analysis; samples; adaptive expectations; bootstrap; sample size; missing observations;

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