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Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model

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Author Info
Charles Freedman
Marianne Johnson
Jorge Iván Canales Kriljenko
Roberto Garcia-Saltos
Douglas Laxton

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Abstract

This is the fourth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which economists have access for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this paper, we add Latin American economies to a previously estimated small quarterly projection model of the US, Euro Area, and Japanese economies. The model is estimated with Bayesian techniques, which provide a very efficient way of imposing restrictions to produce both plausible dynamics and sensible forecasting properties.

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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 09/85.

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Length: 48 pages
Date of creation: 22 Apr 2009
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Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:09/85

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Related research
Keywords: Economic models ; Latin America ; Monetary policy ; Inflation targeting ; Cross country analysis ;

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  1. Ola Melander & Tamim Bayoumi, 2008. "Credit Matters: Empirical Evidence on U.S. Macro-Financial Linkages," IMF Working Papers 08/169, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  2. David Laidler, 2003. "The Price Level, Relative Prices, and Economic Stability: Aspects of the Inter-War Debate," UWO Department of Economics Working Papers 200310, University of Western Ontario, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Dornbusch, Rudiger, 1976. "Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 84(6), pages 1161-76, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Athanasios Orphanides, 2003. "Historical monetary policy analysis and the Taylor rule," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2003-36, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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  5. Frankel, Jeffrey & Parsley, David & Wei, Shang-Jin, 2005. "Slow Passthrough Around the World: A New Import for Developing Countries?," Working Paper Series rwp05-016, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Bernanke, Ben & Gertler, Mark, 1995. "Inside the Black Box: The Credit Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission," Working Papers 95-15, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Philippe D Karam & Natan P. Epstein & Eyal Argov & Douglas Laxton & David Rose, 2007. "Endogenous Monetary Policy Credibility in a Small Macro Model of Israel," IMF Working Papers 07/207, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  8. Andrew Swiston & Tamim Bayoumi, 2007. "Foreign Entanglements: Estimating the Source and Size of Spillovers Across Industrial Countries," IMF Working Papers 07/182, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Philippe D Karam & Dennis P. J. Botman & Douglas Laxton & David Rose, 2007. "DSGE Modeling at the Fund: Applications and Further Developments," IMF Working Papers 07/200, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-10-21.

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