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Hybrid Inflation Targeting Regimes

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  • Carlos Garcia
  • Jorge Restrepo
  • Scott Roger

Abstract

This paper uses a DSGE model to examine whether including the exchange rate explicitly in the central bank's policy reaction function can improve macroeconomic performance. It is found that including an element of exchange rate smoothing in the policy reaction function is helpful both for financially robust advanced economies and for financially vulnerable emerging economies in handling risk premium shocks. As long as the weight placed on exchange rate smoothing is relatively small, the effects on inflation and output volatility in the event of demand and cost-push shocks are minimal. Financially vulnerable emerging economies are especially likely to benefit from some exhange rate smoothing because of the perverse impact of exchange rate movements on activity.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 09/234.

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Length: 57
Date of creation: 01 Oct 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:09/234

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Keywords: Inflation targeting; Central bank policy; Developing countries; Economic models; Exchange rates; External shocks; Risk premium;

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References

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Pourroy, Marc, 2012. "Does exchange rate control improve inflation targeting in emerging economies?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 116(3), pages 448-450.
  2. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Luiz A. Pereira da Silva, 2013. "Inflation Targeting and Financial Stability: A Perspective from the Developing World," Working Papers Series 324, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  3. Bleich, Dirk & Fendel, Ralf & Rülke, Jan-Christoph, 2012. "Inflation targeting makes the difference: Novel evidence on inflation stabilization," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 1092-1105.
  4. Rossini, Renzo & Quispe, Zenón & Serrano, Enrique, 2013. "Foreign Exchange Interventions in Peru," Working Papers 2013-016, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
  5. Shu Lin & Haichun Ye, 2012. "What to Target? Inflation or Exchange Rate," Southern Economic Journal, Southern Economic Association, vol. 78(4), pages 1202-1221, April.
  6. Aron, Janine & Farrell, Greg & Muellbauer, John & Sinclair, Peter, 2010. "Exchange Rate Pass-through and Monetary Policy in South Africa," CEPR Discussion Papers 8153, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  7. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Luiz A. Pereira da Silva, 2013. "Macroprudential Regulation and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 185, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester.
  8. Jaromir Benes & Andrew Berg & Rafael A Portillo & David Vavra, 2013. "Modeling Sterilized Interventions and Balance Sheet Effects of Monetary Policy in a New-Keynesian Framework," IMF Working Papers 13/11, International Monetary Fund.
  9. Berganza, Juan Carlos & Broto, Carmen, 2011. "Flexible inflation targets, forex interventions and exchange rate volatility in emerging countries," BOFIT Discussion Papers 9/2011, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
  10. Marc Pourroy, 2013. "Inflation-Targeting and Foreign Exchange Interventions in Emerging Economies," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00881359, HAL.
  11. Saborowski, Christian, 2010. "Inflation targeting as a means of achieving disinflation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(12), pages 2510-2532, December.
  12. International Monetary Fund, 2011. "Improving the Monetary Policy Frameworks in Central America," IMF Working Papers 11/245, International Monetary Fund.
  13. Scott Roger, 2009. "Inflation Targeting at 20: Achievements and Challenges," IMF Working Papers 09/236, International Monetary Fund.

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