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Real and Financial Sector Linkages in China and India

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Author Info
Jahangir Aziz
Abstract

In the spirit of what is known as business cycle accounting, this paper finds that the investment wedge-the gap between household's rate of intertemporal substitution and the marginal product of capital-is large and quantitatively significant in explaining China's and India's growth. Specific financial sector policies are shown to map well the size and changes in the investment wedge. In the case of China, nonperforming loans, borrowing constraints, and uncertainty over changes in government guidance in bank lending, have implied large transfers from households to firms that have kept capital cost low and encouraged investment. In the case of India, post-1992 financial sector reforms, particularly the reduction in the funds preempted by the government from the banking system, has played an important role in reducing the cost of capital. Simulations show that for rebalancing growth in China and sustaining high investment rate in India, further financial sector reforms could turn out to be key.

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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 08/95.

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Length: 36 pages
Date of creation: 22 Apr 2008
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Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:08/95

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Keywords: Working Paper ; China; People's Republic of ; India ;

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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports: References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Daya Shanker & IKM Mokhtarul Wadud & Harminder Singh, 2008. "A Comparative Study of Banking in China and India, Nonperforming Loans and the Level Playing Field," Economics Series 2008_25, Deakin University, Faculty of Business and Law, School of Accounting, Economics and Finance. [Downloadable!]
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