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A New Fiscal Rule: Should Israel go Swiss?

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Author Info
Xavier Debrun
Natan P. Epstein
Steven A. Symansky

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Abstract

We propose a fiscal rule that fulfills a specific debt reduction objective while maintaining significant fiscal flexibility-two overarching concerns in Israel. Not unlike the Swiss "debt brake," the rule incorporates an error-correction mechanism (ECM) through which departure from the debt objective affects binding medium-run expenditure ceilings. Two variants of our ECM rule are shown to be superior to a comparable deficit rule in terms of attaining the debt objective and allowing for fiscal stabilization while supporting medium-term expenditure planning. Given its relative sophistication, a proper implementation of the ECM rule requires supportive fiscal institutions, including independent input and assessment.

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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 08/87.

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Length: 27 pages
Date of creation: 07 Apr 2008
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Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:08/87

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Keywords: Working Paper ; Israel ;

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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports: References listed on IDEAS
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  1. George Kopits & Steven A. Symansky, 1998. "Fiscal Policy Rules," IMF Occasional Papers 162, International Monetary Fund.
  2. Hallerberg, Mark & Wolff, Guntram B., 2006. "Fiscal institutions, fiscal policy and sovereign risk premia," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2006,35, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
  3. Frank Bodmer, 2006. "The Swiss Debt Brake: How it Works and What Can Go Wrong," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 142(III), pages 307-330, September. [Downloadable!]
  4. Beetsma, Roel M.W.J. & Debrun, Xavier, 2007. "The new stability and growth pact: A first assessment," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 453-477, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Stephan Danninger, 2002. "A New Rule: "The Swiss Debt Brake"," IMF Working Papers 02/18, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  6. Selim Elekdag & Marialuz Moreno-Badia & Natan P. Epstein, 2006. "Fiscal Consolidation in Israel: A Global Fiscal Model Perspective," IMF Working Papers 06/253, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  7. Xavier Debrun & Oya Celasun & Jonathan David Ostry, 2006. "Primary Surplus Behavior and Risks to Fiscal Sustainability in Emerging Market Countries: A "Fan-Chart" Approach," IMF Working Papers 06/67, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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