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Macroeconomic Effects of EU Transfers in New Member States

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  • International Monetary Fund
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    Abstract

    Large inflows from the European Union to the New Member States are likely to significantlyimpact macroeconomic outcomes. In this paper, we use the IMF''s Global Integrated Monetaryand Fiscal model (GIMF) to analyze the impact of the transfers and show the conditionsunder which they would help speed up convergence. We find that the EU funds need to bedirected predominantly to investment rather than to income support and that to bestaccompany the EU fund inflows, the policy-mix would need to combine counter-cyclicalpolicy with a strong commitment to the existing monetary regime.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 08/223.

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    Length: 57
    Date of creation: 01 Sep 2008
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:08/223

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    Related research

    Keywords: Capital flows; Investment policy; Capital inflows; Exchange rate regimes; exchange rate; inflation; real exchange rate; real interest rate; monetary policy; relative price; nominal exchange rate; fixed exchange rate; nominal interest rate; inflation targeting; inflation target; exchange rates; exchange rate regime; fixed exchange rate regime; nominal variables; current account balance; flexible exchange rate; real variables; real exchange rates; relative prices; real interest rates; exchange rate arrangements; low inflation; exchange rate appreciation; high inflation; equilibrium exchange rate; inflation dynamics; real exchange rate appreciation; bilateral exchange rates; flexible exchange rate regime; real exchange rate depreciation; fixed exchange rate regimes; real exchange rate behavior; lower inflation; exchange rate behavior; exchange rate depreciation; inflation rate; macroeconomic analysis; flexible exchange rate regimes; percent inflation; fixed exchange rates; increase in inflation;

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    References

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    1. Michael B. Devereux & Gregor W. Smith, 2004. "Transfer Problem Dynamics: Macroeonomics of the Franco-Prussian War Indemnity," Working Papers 022004, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    2. Robert Sierhej & Christoph B. Rosenberg, 2007. "Interpreting EU Funds Data for Macroeconomic Analysis in the New Member States," IMF Working Papers 07/77, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Angel de la Fuente, 2002. "Convergence across countries and regions: theory and empirics," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 555.02, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC).
    4. Jan Fagerberg & Bart Verspagen, 1996. "Heading for Divergence? Regional Growth in Europe Reconsidered," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(3), pages 431-448, 09.
    5. Michele Boldrin & Fabio Canova, 2001. "Inequality and convergence in Europe's regions: reconsidering European regional policies," Economic Policy, CEPR & CES & MSH, vol. 16(32), pages 205-253, 04.
    6. Douglas Laxton & Susanna Mursula & Michael Kumhof & Dirk Muir, 2010. "The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model (GIMF)," IMF Working Papers 10/34, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Boldrin, Michele & Canova, Fabio, 2003. "Regional Policies and EU Enlargement," CEPR Discussion Papers 3744, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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    Cited by:
    1. Janos Varga and Jan in 't Veld, 2010. "The Potential Impact of EU Cohesion Policy Spending in the 2007-13 Programming Period: A Model-Based," European Economy - Economic Papers 422, Directorate General Economic and Monetary Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    2. LSE Enterprise, 2011. "Study on the impact of the single market on cohesion: implications for cohesion policy, growth and competitiveness," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 42840, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. John Bradley, 2010. "EU Cohesion Policy in a Period of Economic Crisis: Evaluating Impacts in Small Open Economies," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 7, pages 50-67.
    4. John Bradley, 2010. "EU Cohesion Policy at the Time of Economic Crisis: Assessing the Impact on Small Open Economies," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 2, pages 3-23.
    5. Bucciarelli Edgardo & Alessi Michele & Persico Tony Ernesto, 2012. "Dynamics Of Development In Europe: Analysis Of Twenty Years Data On Gdp And Hdi," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1(1), pages 262-266, July.

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