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Are Weak Banks Leading Credit Booms? Evidence from Emerging Europe

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Author Info
Deniz Igan
Natalia T. Tamirisa

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Abstract

This paper examines the behavior of bank soundness indicators during episodes of brisk loan growth, using bank-level data for central and eastern Europe and controlling for the feedback effect of credit growth on bank soundness. No evidence is found that rapid loan expansion has weakened banks during the last decade, but over time weaker banks seem to have started to expand at least as fast as, and in some markets faster than, stronger banks. These findings suggest that during credit booms supervisors need to carefully monitor the soundness of rapidly expanding banks and stand ready to take action to limit the expansion of weak banks.

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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 08/219.

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Length: 21 pages
Date of creation: 15 Sep 2008
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Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:08/219

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Related research
Keywords: Banking sector ; Bank soundness ; Credit expansion ; Europe ; Emerging markets ; Bank credit ; Risk management ; Working Paper ;

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References listed on IDEAS
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  4. Gropp, Reint & Vesala, Jukka & Vulpes, Giuseppe, 2006. "Equity and Bond Market Signals as Leading Indicators of Bank Fragility," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 38(2), pages 399-428, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Alejandro Micco & Ugo Panizza & Mónica Yañez, 2004. "Bank Ownership and Performance," RES Working Papers 4381, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  6. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Rodrigo Valdes & Oscar Landerretche, 2001. "Lending Booms: Latin America and the World," NBER Working Papers 8249, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Istvan Konya & Hiroshi Ohashi, 2005. "International Consumption Patterns among High-income Countries: Evidence from the OECD Data," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-327, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Ralph de Haas & Iman van Lelyveld, 2003. "Foreign Banks and Credit Stability in Central and Eastern Europe: A Panel Data Analysis," DNB Staff Reports (discontinued) 109, Netherlands Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Martin Cihák & Wim Fonteyne, 2009. "Five Years After: European Union Membership and Macro-Financial Stability in the New Member States," IMF Working Papers 09/68, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  2. Schich, Sebastian T., 2009. "Challenges Associated with the Expansion of Deposit Insurance Coverage during Fall 2008," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, vol. 3(20), pages 1-23. [Downloadable!]
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