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The ECB’s Monetary Analysis Revisited

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Author Info
Helge Berger
Emil Stavrev
Thomas Harjes

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Abstract

Monetary aggregates continue to play an important role in the ECB's policy strategy. This paper revisits the case for money, surveying the ongoing theoretical and empirical debate. The key conclusion is that an exclusive focus on non-monetary factors alone may leave the ECB with an incomplete picture of the economy. However, treating monetary factors as a separate matter is a second-best solution. Instead, a general-equilibrium inspired analytical framework that merges the economic and monetary "pillars" of the ECB's policy strategy appears the most promising way forward. The role played by monetary aggregates in such unified framework may be rather limited. However, an integrated framework would facilitate the presentation of policy decisions by providing a clearer narrative of the relative role of money in the interaction with other economic and financial sector variables, including asset prices, and their impact on consumer prices.

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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 08/171.

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Length: 61 pages
Date of creation: 10 Jul 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:08/171

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Related research
Keywords: European Central Bank ; Monetary policy ; Central bank policy ; Economic models ; Asset prices ; Consumer prices ; Financial sector ; Money ;

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-20.


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