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Calculating Sustainable Non-mineral Balances as Benchmarks for Fiscal Policy: The Case of Botswana

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Jens R. Clausen

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Abstract

Assuming a social welfare function that smoothes expenditure, this paper calculates a sustainability benchmark for the non-mineral balance in Botswana that is based on a notion of a "permanent income" from non-renewable resources. It is derived by constructing a hypothetical annuity from revenues from these resources, which is held constant in terms of GDP. Botswana is an interesting case because current projections suggest that diamond resources could be largely exhausted within a generation.

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File URL: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2008/wp08117.pdf
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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 08/117.

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Length: 15 pages
Date of creation: 05 May 2008
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Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:08/117

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Related research
Keywords: Working Paper ; Botswana ; Natural resources ; Fiscal policy ; Revenues ; Government accounting ;

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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports: References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Michael Kumhof & Douglas Laxton, 2009. "Chile's Structural Fiscal Surplus Rule: A Model-Based Evaluation," IMF Working Papers 09/88, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  2. Daniel Leigh & Stéphane Carcillo & Mauricio Villafuerte, 2007. "Catch-Up Growth, Habits, Oil Depletion, and Fiscal Policy: Lessons from the Republic of Congo," IMF Working Papers 07/80, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  3. Jan-Peter Olters, 2007. "Old Curses, New Approaches? Fiscal Benchmarks for Oil-Producing Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa," IMF Working Papers 07/107, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  4. Daniel Leigh & Etibar Jafarov, 2007. "Alternative Fiscal Rules for Norway," IMF Working Papers 07/241, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  5. H. Takizawa & E. H. Gardner & Kenichi Ueda, 2004. "Are Developing Countries Better Off Spending their Oil Wealth Upfront?," IMF Working Papers 04/141, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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