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An Estimated DSGE Model for Monetary Policy analysis in Low-Income Countries

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Author Info
Shanaka J. Peiris
Magnus Saxegaard
Abstract

This paper evaluates monetary policy-tradeoffs in low-income countries using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model estimated on data for Mozambique taking into account the sources of major exogenous shocks, and level of financial development. To our knowledge this is a first attempt at estimating a DSGE model for Sub-Saharan Africa excluding South Africa. Our simulations suggests that a exchange rate peg is significantly less successful than inflation targeting at stabilizing the real economy due to higher interest rate volatility, as in the literature for industrial countries and emerging markets.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 07/282.

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Length: 31 pages
Date of creation: 19 Dec 2007
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Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:07/282

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Related research
Keywords: Monetary policy Africa Currency pegs Inflation targeting Low-income developing countries

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This page was last updated on 2008-8-15.


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