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Globalization, Gluts, Innovation or Irrationality: What Explains the Easy Financing of the U.S. Current Account Deficit? Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Ravi Balakrishnan
Volodymyr Tulin
Tamim Bayoumi
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This paper examines the roles of U.S. financial innovation, financial globalization, and the savings glut hypothesis in explaining the rise in U.S. external debt, first in a portfolio balance model, and then empirically. Perhaps surprisingly, financial deepening and falling home bias in industrialized countries explain a large share of external financing. The savings glut hypothesis (including difficult-to-track petrodollar recycling) and U.S. financial innovation are also important, in part as a cause of declining home bias in industrialized countries. The latter underscores the importance of not looking at these factors in isolation, but rather as a constellation of forces that can be self-reinforcing.
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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number
07/160.
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Length: 39 pages
Date of creation: 13 Jul 2007Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:07/160Contact details of provider: Postal: International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA Phone: (202) 623-7000 Fax: (202) 623-4661 Email: Web page: http://www.imf.org/external/pubind.htm More information through EDIRC
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For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Christopher F. Baum).
Keywords: Working Paper ; Current account ; United States ; External debt ; Deficit financing ; Financial instruments ; Globalization ; Savings ; Economic models ; Other versions of this item:
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports :
References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Ricardo Caballero & Emmanuel Farhi & Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, 2006.
"An Equilibrium Model of "Global Imbalances" and Low Interest Rates ,"
Center for International and Development Economics Research, Working Paper Series
1067, Center for International and Development Economics Research, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
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Other versions:
Caballero, Ricardo & Farhi, Emmanuel & Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier, 2006.
"An Equilibrium Model of 'Global Imbalances' and Low Interest Rates ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5573, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ricardo J. Caballero & Emmanuel Farhi & Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, 2006.
"An Equilibrium Model of Global Imbalances and Low Interest Rates ,"
2006 Meeting Papers
894, Society for Economic Dynamics.
[Downloadable!] Ricardo J. Caballero & Emmanuel Farhi & Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, 2006.
"An Equilibrium Model of "Global Imbalances" and Low Interest Rates ,"
NBER Working Papers
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[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ricardo J Caballero & Emmanuel Farhi & Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, 2006.
"An equilibrum model of "global imbalances" and low interest rates ,"
BIS Working Papers
222, Bank for International Settlements.
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International Finance Discussion Papers
892, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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Other versions: Francis E. Warnock & Chad Cleaver, 2002.
"Financial centers and the geography of capital flows ,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
722, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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Charles P. Thomas, 2006.
"The Performance of International Equity Portfolios ,"
The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series
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Miranda Xafa, 2007.
"Global Imbalances and Financial Stability ,"
IMF Working Papers
07/111, International Monetary Fund.
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Ravi Balakrishnan & Volodymyr Tulin, 2006.
"U.S. Dollar Risk Premiums and Capital Flows ,"
IMF Working Papers
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Carol C. Bertaut & William L. Griever, 2004.
"Recent developments in cross-border investment in securities ,"
Federal Reserve Bulletin ,
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Krugman, Paul, 1979.
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Maurice Obstfeld & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2005.
"Global Current Account Imbalances and Exchange Rate Adjustments ,"
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity ,
Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 36(2005-1), pages 67-146.
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Olivier Blanchard & Francesco Giavazzi & Filipa Sa, 2005.
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Other versions: Michael P. Dooley & David Folkerts-Landau & Peter Garber, 2003.
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"Global imbalances and financial stability ,"
Journal of Policy Modeling ,
Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 783-796.
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Charles P. Thomas & Francis E. Warnock & Jon Wongswan, 2006.
"The Performance of International Equity Portfolios ,"
NBER Working Papers
12346, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
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references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Joseph W. Gruber & Steven B. Kamin, 2008.
"Do differences in financial development explain the global pattern of current account imbalances? ,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
923, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
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