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What Drives Stock Market Development in the Middle East and Central Asia--Institutions, Remittances, or Natural Resources?

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Author Info
Andreas Billmeier
Isabella Massa

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Abstract

In this paper, we assess the macroeconomic determinants of stock market capitalization in a panel of 17 countries in the Middle East and Central Asia, including both hydrocarbon-rich countries and economies without sizeable natural resource wealth. In addition to traditional variables, we include an institutional variable and remittances among the regressors. We find that (i) both institutions and remittances have a positive and significant impact on market capitalization; and (ii) both regressors matter, especially in countries without significant hydrocarbon sectors; whereas (iii) in resource-rich countries, stock market capitalization is mainly driven by the oil price.

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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 07/157.

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Length: 21 pages
Date of creation: 13 Jul 2007
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Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:07/157

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Keywords: Working Paper ; Stock markets ; Middle East and Central Asia ; Natural resources ; Oil prices ; Workers remittances ; Economic models ;

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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Nadeem Ilahi & Riham Shendy, 2008. "Do the Gulf Oil-Producing Countries Influence Regional Growth? the Impact of Financial and Remittance Flows," IMF Working Papers 08/167, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  2. Ziesemer, Thomas, 2008. "Worker remittances, migration, accumulation and growth in poor developing countries," UNU-MERIT Working Paper Series 063, United Nations University, Maastricht Economic and social Research and training centre on Innovation and Technology. [Downloadable!]
  3. Andreas Billmeier & Isabella Massa, 2007. "Go Long or Short in Pyramids? News from the Egyptian Stock Market," IMF Working Papers 07/179, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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