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Money and Inflation in the Islamic Republic of Iran

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Author Info
Leo Bonato

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Abstract

This paper looks at the determinants of inflation in Iran. Unlike the traditional estimates of the demand function for real money balances, the approach followed here focuses on the relationship between nominal variables and inflation. The model estimates are used to address the questions raised by the decline in inflation that occurred up to the first half of 2006, looking at the structural stability of the estimated relationships and the ability of the model to predict inflation at the end of the sample. The estimates confirm the strong relationship between money and inflation when M1 is used, with no evidence of a structural change.

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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 07/119.

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Length: 17 pages
Date of creation: 15 May 2007
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Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:07/119

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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports: References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. MacKinnon, James G & Haug, Alfred A & Michelis, Leo, 1999. "Numerical Distribution Functions of Likelihood Ratio Tests for Cointegration," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(5), pages 563-77, Sept.-Oct. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Abbas Alavirad & Sanhita Athawale, 2005. "The impact of the budget deficit on inflation in the Islamic Republic of Iran," OPEC Review, Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, vol. 29(1), pages 37-49, 03. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Hylleberg, S. & Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. J. & Yoo, B. S., 1990. "Seasonal integration and cointegration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 44(1-2), pages 215-238. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Oya Celasun & Mangal Goswami, 2002. "An Analysis of Money Demand and Inflation in the Islamic Republic of Iran," IMF Working Papers 02/205, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  5. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee, 1995. "Source Of Inflation In Post-Revolutionary Iran," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 9(2), pages 61-72, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Pesaran, M. H., 1998. "Economic Trends and Macroeconomic Policies in Post-revolutionary Iran," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9818, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Hanan Morsy & Magda E. Kandil, 2009. "Determinants of Inflation in GCC," IMF Working Papers 09/82, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  2. Maher Hasan & Hesham Alogeel, 2008. "Understanding the Inflationary Process in the GCC Region: The Case of Saudi Arabia and Kuwait," IMF Working Papers 08/193, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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