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Progress in China's Banking Sector Reform: Has Bank Behavior Changed?

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Author Info
Richard Podpiera

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Abstract

Substantial effort has been devoted to reforming China's banking system in recent years. The authorities recapitalized three large state-owned banks, introduced new governance structures, and brought in foreign strategic investors. However, it remains unclear the extent to which currently reported data reflect the true credit risk in loan portfolios and whether lending decisions have started to be taken on a commercial basis. We examine lending growth, credit pricing, and regional patterns in lending from 1997 through 2004 to look for evidence of changing behavior of the large state-owned commercial banks (SCBs). We find that the SCBs have slowed down credit expansion, but that the pricing of credit risk remains undifferentiated and banks do not appear to take enterprise profitability into account when making lending decisions. Controlling for several factors, we find that large SCBs have continued to lose market share to other financial institutions in provinces with more profitable enterprises. The full impact of the most recent reforms will become clear only in several years, however, and these issues should be revisited in future research.

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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 06/71.

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Length: 25 pages
Date of creation: 29 Mar 2006
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Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:06/71

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Keywords: Banking systems ; China ; Credit risk ; Bank supervision ; Bank regulations ;

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  1. Genevieve Boyreau-Debray & Shang-Jin Wei, 2005. "Pitfalls of a State-Dominated Financial System: The Case of China," NBER Working Papers 11214, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Cull, Robert & Xu, Lixin Colin, 2003. "Who gets credit? The behavior of bureaucrats and state banks in allocating credit to Chinese state-owned enterprises," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(2), pages 533-559, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Cull, Robert & Xu, Lixin Colin, 2000. "Bureaucrats, State Banks, and the Efficiency of Credit Allocation: The Experience of Chinese State-Owned Enterprises," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 1-31, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Wei, Shang-Jin & Wang, Tao, 1997. "The siamese twins: Do state-owned banks favor state-owned enterprises in China?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 19-29. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Park, Albert & Sehrt, Kaja, 2001. "Tests of Financial Intermediation and Banking Reform in China," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 608-644, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Eswar S. Prasad, 2007. "Is the Chinese Growth Miracle Built to Last?," IZA Discussion Papers 2995, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
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  2. Koivu, Tuuli, 2008. "Has the Chinese economy become more sensitive to interest rates? Studying credit demand in China," BOFIT Discussion Papers 1/2008, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition. [Downloadable!]
  3. Wim Suyker & Henri de Groot, 2006. "China and the Dutch Economy, Stylised facts and prospects," CPB Documents 127, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  4. Beoy Kui Ng, 2007. "Banking Reform in China: An Assessment in Macroeconomic Perspective," Economic Growth centre Working Paper Series 0707, Nanyang Technolgical University, School of Humanities and Social Sciences, Economic Growth centre. [Downloadable!]
  5. C Niranjan Rao, 2008. "The Role of Intellectual Property Rights in Information and Communication Technologies," Working Papers id:1742, esocialsciences.com. [Downloadable!]
  6. Jahangir Aziz, 2008. "Deconstructing China’s and India’s Growth: The Role of Financial Policies," Working Papers id:1714, esocialsciences.com. [Downloadable!]
  7. Rodolfo Maino & Bernard Laurens, 2007. "China: Strengthening Monetary Policy Implementation," IMF Working Papers 07/14, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  8. Kudrna, Zdenek, 2007. "Banking reform in China: Driven by international standards and Chinese specifics," MPRA Paper 7320, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  9. Richard Podpiera & Lamin Leigh, 2007. "The Rise of Foreign Investment in China's Banks: Taking Stock," IMF Working Papers 06/292, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  10. Jahangir Aziz, 2007. "Rebalancing China's Economy: What Does Growth Theory Tell Us?," IMF Working Papers 06/291, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  11. Jahangir Aziz, 2008. "Real and Financial Sector Linkages in China and India," IMF Working Papers 08/95, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  12. Guariglia, Alessandra & Liu, Xiaoxuan & Song, Lina, 2008. "Internal Finance and Growth: Microeconometric Evidence on Chinese Firms," IZA Discussion Papers 3808, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
  13. Jahangir Aziz, . "Deconstructing China's and India's Growth: the Role of Financial Policies," Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, New Delhi Working Papers 224, Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, New Delhi, India. [Downloadable!]
  14. Marvin Goodfriend & Eswar Prasad, 2006. "A Framework for Independent Monetary Policy in China," IMF Working Papers 06/111, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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