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How Does Trade Openness Influence Budget Deficits in Developing Countries?

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Author Info
Tahsin Saadi-Sedik
Jean-Louis Combes

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Abstract

This paper analyzes the effects of trade openness on budget balances by distinguishing the effects of natural openness from those of trade-policy induced openness. Using the GMMsystem estimator, the econometric analysis focuses on 66 developing countries during 1974-98. The results show that trade openness increases a country's exposure to external shocks regardless of its underlying causes. This reinforces the adverse effects of terms of trade instability on budget balances. However, trade openness also influences budget balances through several other channels: corruption, income inequalities, etc. The paper shows that these additional effects of natural openness and trade-policy induced openness on budget balances go in opposite directions: the former deteriorates budget balances whereas the latter improves them.

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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 06/3.

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Length: 22 pages
Date of creation: 18 Jan 2006
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Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:06/3

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Keywords: Trade policy ; Budget deficits ; Terms of trade ; Developing countries ;

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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. David A. Grigorian & Hamid Reza Davoodi, 2007. "Tax Potential vs. Tax Effort: A Cross-Country Analysis of Armenia's Stubbornly Low Tax Collection," IMF Working Papers 07/106, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  2. Hans P. Lankes & Azim M. Sadikov & Jean-Jacques Hallaert & Dustin Smith & Katrin Elborgh-Woytek, 2006. "Fiscal Implications of Multilateral Tariff Cuts," IMF Working Papers 06/203, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  3. Eliza M. Lis & Christiane Nickel, 2009. "The Impact of Extreme Weather Events on Budget Balances and Implications for Fiscal Policy," Working Paper Series 1055, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  4. Martin Petri & Tahsin Saadi-Sedik, 2006. "To Smooth or Not to Smooth - The Impact of Grants and Remittances on the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate in Jordan," IMF Working Papers 06/257, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  5. David Cowen & Hemant Shah & Ranil Salgado & Leslie Teo & Alessandro Zanello, 2006. "Financial Integration in Asia: Recent Developments and Next Steps," IMF Working Papers 06/196, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  6. Foued Chihi & Michel Normandin, 2008. "External and Budget Deficits in Developing Countries," Cahiers de recherche 0819, CIRPEE. [Downloadable!]
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