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Currency Mismatches and Corporate Default Risk: Modeling, Measurement, and Surveillance Applications

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Author Info
Andre Santos
Jorge A. Chan-Lau
Abstract

Currency mismatches in corporate balance sheets have been singled out as an important factor underlying the severity of recent financial crises. We propose several structural models for measuring default risk for firms with currency mismatches in their asset/liability structure. The proposed models can be adapted to different exchange rate regimes, are analytically tractable, and can be estimated using available equity price and balance sheet data. The paper provides a detailed explanation on how to calibrate the models and discusses two applications to financial surveillance: the measurement of systematic risk in the corporate sector and the estimation of prudential leverage ratios consistent with regulatory capital ratios in the banking sector.

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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 06/269.

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Length: 30 pages
Date of creation: 08 Dec 2006
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Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:06/269

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Related research
Keywords: Default risk ; currency mismatch ; dollarization ; corporate sector ; econometric estimation ; financial surveillance ; Credit risk ; Currencies ; Financial crisis ; Dollarization ; Economic models ;

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