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What's Driving Private Investment in Malaysia? Aggregate Trends and Firm-Level Evidence

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Author Info
Roberto Pereira Guimarães
Olaf Unteroberdoerster
Abstract

Private sector investment has been a key source of growth in Malaysia over the last three decades, but after an unprecedented decline in the wake of the Asian crisis it has remained sluggish in recent years. Using aggregate and firm-level data, this paper aims to explain these trends and their implications for Malaysia's investment and growth outlook. Aggregate data point to sustained overinvestment in the years prior to the Asian crisis and the role of shifts in investor perceptions as important determinants of the recent decline in private investment. Meanwhile, firm-level data suggest that low profitability, along with financing constraints affecting smaller firms and those in the services sector, has also been important.

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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 06/190.

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Length: 26 pages
Date of creation: 23 Aug 2006
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Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:06/190

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Related research
Keywords: private investment ; long- and short-run dynamics ; Tobin's Q ; corporate investment ; panel data analysis ; Private investment ; Malaysia ; Economic growth ;

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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports: References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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  4. Caballero, Ricardo J., 1999. "Aggregate investment," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 12, pages 813-862 Elsevier. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Nauro F. Campos & Jeffrey B. Nugent, 2003. "Aggregate Investment and Political Instability: An Econometric Investigation," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 70(279), pages 533-549, 08. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Robertson, Peter E, 2000. "Diminished Returns? Growth and Investment in East Asia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 76(235), pages 343-53, December.
  7. Benoît Mercereau, 2005. "FDI Flows to Asia: Did the Dragon Crowd Out the Tigers?," IMF Working Papers 05/189, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  8. Oshikoya, Temitope W, 1994. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Domestic Private Investment in Africa: An Empirical Analysis," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 42(3), pages 573-96, April.
  9. Ivar Kolstad & Espen Villanger, 2004. "Determinants of foreign direct investment in services," CMI Working Papers WP 2004: 2, CMI (Chr. Michelsen Institute), Bergen, Norway. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Charles Collyns & A. Senhadji Semlali, 2002. "Lending Booms, Real Estate Bubbles and The Asian Crisis," IMF Working Papers 02/20, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  11. Calcagnini, Giorgio & Saltari, Enrico, 2003. "Labour and Financial Market Determinants of Investment Decisions in Europe," EIFC - Technology and Finance Working Papers 26, United Nations University, Institute for New Technologies. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. James Ang, 2008. "Private Investment And Financial Sector Policies In Developing Countries," Monash Economics Working Papers 07/08, Monash University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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