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Management of Oil Wealth Under the Permanent Income Hypothesis: The Case of Sao Tome and Principe

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Author Info
Alonso Segura
Abstract

This paper documents the protracted process of shaping the rules governing oil operations in São Tomé and Príncipe. It analyzes the institutional framework for oil sector development, which applies Milton Friedman's permanent income hypothesis to the management of oil resources. São Tomé and Príncipe is the first country in Africa to adopt this rule. Finally, the paper offers a preliminary quantitative analysis of the impact of oil sector development on government consumption and savings. It shows that the country's oil wealth could be significant, which would enable sustainable government consumption and intergenerational equity through a gradual buildup of the Permanent Fund for Future Generations.

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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 06/183.

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Length: 34 pages
Date of creation: 08 Aug 2006
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Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:06/183

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Keywords: Sao Tome and Principe ; oil resources ; permanent income hypothesis ; fiscal rules ; Oil ; Sao Tome and Principe ; Oil revenues ;

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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports: References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Eduardo M.R.A. Engel & Rodrigo Valdés, 2000. "Optimal Fiscal Strategy for Oil Exporting Countries," Documentos de Trabajo 78, Centro de Economía Aplicada, Universidad de Chile. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Saqib Rizavi & Delia Velculescu, 2005. "Trinidad and Tobago: The Energy Boom and Proposals for a Sustainable Fiscal Policy," IMF Working Papers 05/197, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  3. Daniel Leigh & Jan-Peter Olters, 2006. "Natural-Resource Depletion, Habit Formation, and Sustainable Fiscal Policy: Lessons from Gabon," IMF Working Papers 06/193, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  4. Luis Serven & César Calderon, 2004. "The Effects of Infrastructure Development on Growth and income," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 173, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  5. R. M. Solow, 1973. "Intergenerational Equity and Exhaustable Resources," Working papers 103, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics.
  6. H. Takizawa & E. H. Gardner & Kenichi Ueda, 2004. "Are Developing Countries Better Off Spending their Oil Wealth Upfront?," IMF Working Papers 04/141, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. van der Ploeg, Frederick & Venables, Anthony J., 2008. "Harnessing Windfall Revenues in Developing Economies: Sovereign Wealth Funds and Optimal Tradeoffs Between Citizen Dividends, Public Infrastructure and Debt Reduction," CEPR Discussion Papers 6954, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Ulrich H. Klueh & Alonso Segura & Walter Zarate & Gonzalo C. Pastor, 2007. "Inter-Sectoral Linkages and Local Content in Extractive Industries and Beyond--The Case of Sao Tome and Principe," IMF Working Papers 07/213, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  3. Daniel Leigh & Stéphane Carcillo & Mauricio Villafuerte, 2007. "Catch-Up Growth, Habits, Oil Depletion, and Fiscal Policy: Lessons from the Republic of Congo," IMF Working Papers 07/80, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  4. Wojciech Maliszewski, 2009. "Fiscal Policy Rules for Oil-Producing Countries: A Welfare-Based Assessment," IMF Working Papers 09/126, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  5. Daniel Leigh & Jan-Peter Olters, 2006. "Natural-Resource Depletion, Habit Formation, and Sustainable Fiscal Policy: Lessons from Gabon," IMF Working Papers 06/193, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  6. Jan-Peter Olters, 2007. "Old Curses, New Approaches? Fiscal Benchmarks for Oil-Producing Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa," IMF Working Papers 07/107, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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