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The Net Worth Approach to Fiscal Analysis

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  • International Monetary Fund
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    Abstract

    The net worth approach to fiscal analysis is cast in a simple model able to capture the dynamics and steady-state equilibria of public sector''s debt, nonfinancial and financial assets, and net worth under alternative fiscal rules, including the golden rule and the golden rule cum debt stabilization fund. The paper also presents an adaptation of the model to the case of economies with depletable resources that have introduced investment oil funds, and illustrates the fiscal conditions required for the solvency of the associated fiscal rules. The model brings to the forefront the rate of return of public assets, highlighting the need for policymakers to decide on the appropriate level of assets and debt ratios. Finally, the model''s potential for use in a range of contexts is demonstrated with a simple numerical simulation. This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF. The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate.

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    File URL: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.aspx?sk=18730
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 06/17.

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    Length: 39
    Date of creation: 01 Jan 2006
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:06/17

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    Postal: International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA
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    Related research

    Keywords: Fiscal management; Public debt; Economic models; debt ratio; equation; prototype model; equations; difference equation; net debt; equation system; difference equations; statistics; debt ratios; external debt; dynamic system; perturbation; polynomial; domestic debt; stochastic process; debt sustainability; domestic currency; stock of debt; stochastic processes; debt management; central bank; repayments;

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    1. Enzo Croce & V. Hugo Juan-Ramon, 2003. "Assessing Fiscal Sustainability," IMF Working Papers 03/145, International Monetary Fund.
    2. George Kopits, 2001. "Fiscal Rules," IMF Working Papers 01/145, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Theodore M. Barnhill & George Kopits, 2003. "Assessing Fiscal Sustainability Under Uncertainity," IMF Working Papers 03/79, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:
    1. International Monetary Fund, 2008. "Constraintson the Design and Implementation of Monetary Policy in Oil Economies," IMF Working Papers 08/142, International Monetary Fund.

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