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The Implications of South African Economic Growth for the Rest of Africa

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  • Vivek B. Arora
  • Athanasios Vamvakidis
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    Abstract

    This paper measures the extent to which South African economic growth is an engine of growth in sub-Saharan Africa. Results based on panel data estimation for 47 African countries over four decades suggest that South African growth has a substantial positive impact on growth in the rest of Africa, even after controlling for other growth determinants. The estimates are robust to the effects of global and regional shocks, changes in model specification, and sample period.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 05/58.

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    Length: 23
    Date of creation: 01 Mar 2005
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/58

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    Related research

    Keywords: Economic growth; Stabilization programs; Trade; Economic models; gdp per capita; gdp growth; real gdp; net exports; trading partners; growth rate; merchandise trade; external trade; economic integration; bilateral trade; regional trade; foreign trade; trade data; bilateral trade data; trade partner; growth model; world growth; neighboring countries; trade effect; growth rates; endogenous growth; trade openness; domestic investment; high trade barriers; trade share; international trade; trading partner; trade patterns; global integration; business cycles; import demand; trade barriers; trade agreements; open economies; political economy; gdp growth rate; transitory shocks; trade flows;

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    References

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    1. Jeffrey Sachs & Andrew Warner, 1995. "Economic Reform and the Progress of Global Integration," Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research 1733, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research.
    2. Paul Romer, 1989. "Endogenous Technological Change," NBER Working Papers 3210, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Rivera-Batiz, Luis A & Romer, Paul M, 1991. "Economic Integration and Endogenous Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, MIT Press, vol. 106(2), pages 531-55, May.
    4. Levine, Ross & Renelt, David, 1992. "A Sensitivity Analysis of Cross-Country Growth Regressions," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, American Economic Association, vol. 82(4), pages 942-63, September.
    5. Francesco Caselli & Gerardo Esquivel & Fernando Lefort, 1997. "Reopening the Convergence Debate: A New Look at Cross-Country Growth Empirics," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile 03, Central Bank of Chile.
    6. Moulton, Brent R, 1990. "An Illustration of a Pitfall in Estimating the Effects of Aggregate Variables on Micro Unit," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 72(2), pages 334-38, May.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:
    1. Marco Pani & Etibar Jafarov & Clinton R. Shiells, 2005. "Is Russia Still Driving Regional Economic Growth?," IMF Working Papers 05/192, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Michele Alessandrini & Michael Enowbi Batuo, 2010. "The trade specialization of SANE: Evidence from manufacturing industries," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 7(1), pages 145-178, June.
    3. Nin Pratt, Alejandro & Diao, Xinshen, 2006. "Exporing growth linkages and market opportunities for agriculture in Southern Africa:," DSGD discussion papers, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) 42, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    4. Jaime Espinosa-Bowen & Nadeem Ilahi & Fahad Alturki, 2009. "How Russia Affects the Neighborhood," IMF Working Papers 09/277, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Laura N. Beny & Lisa D. Cook, 2009. "Metals or Management? Explaining Africa's Recent Economic Growth Performance," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, American Economic Association, vol. 99(2), pages 268-74, May.
    6. Nadeem Ilahi & Riham Shendy, 2008. "Do the Gulf Oil-Producing Countries Influence Regional Growth? T+L3886he Impact of Financial and Remittance Flows," IMF Working Papers 08/167, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Kabundi, Alain & Loots, Elsabe, 2007. "Co-movement between South Africa and the Southern African Development Community: An empirical analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 24(5), pages 737-748, September.
    8. Nin Pratt, Alejandro & Diao, Xinshen, 2006. "High value products or staple crops? A discussion on development strategies for Southern Africa," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) 21094, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    9. Francesca Giubilo, 2010. "What Could be the Future of South Africa After National Elections on 22 April 2009?," Transition Studies Review, Springer, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 948-961, February.
    10. Massimiliano Bertollo & Omar Appolloni & Juana Bustamante Izquierdo & Francesco De Angelis & Edoardo Lelli & Slavko Vesenjak, 2009. "China and the Different Regional Approaches in Africa," Transition Studies Review, Springer, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 404-420, June.

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