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Monetary and Exchange Rate Dynamics During Disinflation

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  • Lei Zhang
  • A. Javier Hamann
  • Andrés Arias

Abstract

Based on the observed behavior of monetary aggregates and exchange rates, we classify inflation-stabilization episodes into two categories: de facto exchange rate-based stabilizations (ERBS) and non-ERBS. Unlike the standard de jure ERBS studied in the literature, de facto ERBS encompass cases in which the central bank intervenes in the foreign exchange market but does not preannounce the use of an exchange rate anchor. The number of the de facto ERBS is twice as large as that of de jure ERBS. Output dynamics during disinflation do not differ significantly between these two groups. We conclude that empirical studies on the effects of exchange rate anchors must seek to disentangle the effects of their announcement from those related to their role in the remonetization process.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 05/33.

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Length: 34
Date of creation: 01 Feb 2005
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/33

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Related research

Keywords: Disinflation; Exchange rates; stabilization; exchange rate; exchange rate anchor; exchange rate volatility; foreign exchange; exchange rate dynamics; exchange rate regimes; nominal exchange rate; explicit exchange rate; exchange rate regime; foreign exchange market; exchange rate band; foreign exchange rate; bilateral exchange rate; basket of currencies; stable exchange rate; classification of exchange rate; exchange rate floats; exchange rate anchors; fixed exchange rate; multiple exchange rate; exchange rate system; domestic prices;

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  1. Bruno, Michael & Easterly, William, 1998. "Inflation crises and long-run growth," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 3-26, February.
  2. Calvo, Guillermo A. & Vegh, Carlos A., 1999. "Inflation stabilization and bop crises in developing countries," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 24, pages 1531-1614 Elsevier.
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Cited by:
  1. Ahmet Atil Asici, 2007. "Parametric and Non-parametric Approaches to Exits from Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes," IHEID Working Papers 14-2007, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
  2. AsIcI, Ahmet AtIl, 2011. "Exchange rate regime choice and currency crises," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 419-436, September.
  3. Manoj Atolia & Edward F. Buffie, 2006. "Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilization, Durables Consumption, and Stylized Facts," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 416, Society for Computational Economics.
  4. Edward F. Buffie & Manoj Atolia, 2005. "Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilization, Durables Consumption, and the Stylized Facts," Working Papers wp2005_12_01, Department of Economics, Florida State University, revised Jan 2009.

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