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The Domestic and Global Impact of Japan's Policies for Growth

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Author Info
Nicoletta Batini
Papa M'B. P. N'Diaye
Alessandro Rebucci

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Abstract

Japan is facing a sizable fiscal imbalance against a backdrop of weak trend growth and growing external imbalances in the world economy. This paper examines the possible impact of fiscal adjustment and productivity-enhancing structural reforms on the Japanese and world economies. Simulation results indicate that these could reduce substantially Japan's fiscal imbalance with only limited spillovers to the rest of the world. Specifically, faster productivity growth would help lower Japan's debt and limit the tendency of fiscal consolidation to increase the external surplus. In fact, very rapid productivity growth could potentially lead to a decline in Japan's external surplus and thereby have a positive effect on global imbalance. The modest extent of the spillovers to the rest of the world reflect the small size of the shocks and the diminished size of Japan in the world economy.

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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 05/209.

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Length: 22 pages
Date of creation: 16 Nov 2005
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Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/209

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Related research
Keywords: Economic Growth ; Japan ; Economic policy ; External debt ; Fiscal management ; Productivity ; Economic models ;

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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports: References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Hamid Faruqee & Peter Isard, 1998. "Exchange Rate Assessment: Extension of the Macroeconomic Balance Approach," IMF Occasional Papers 167, International Monetary Fund.
  2. Philip Lane & Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, 2005. "A Global Perspective on External Positions," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp079, IIIS. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Hamid Faruqee & Peter Isard & Douglas Laxton & Eswar Prasad & Bart Turtelboom, 1998. "Multimod Mark III: The Core Dynamic and Steady State Model," IMF Occasional Papers 164, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  4. Michel Juillard & Philippe Karam & Douglas Laxton & Paolo Pesenti, 2006. "Welfare-based monetary policy rules in an estimated DSGE model of the US economy," Working Paper Series 613, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  5. Fabio Ghironi & Talan B. Iscan & Alessandro Rebucci, 2005. "Net Foreign Asset Positions and Consumption Dynamics in the International Economy," IMF Working Papers 05/82, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Nicoletta Batini & Tim Callen & Warwick J. McKibbin, 2006. "The Global Impact of Demographic Change," IMF Working Papers 06/9, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  7. Hamid Faruqee & Douglas Laxton & Dirk Muir & Paolo Pesenti, 2005. "Smooth Landing or Crash? Model-Based Scenarios of Global Current Account Rebalancing," NBER Working Papers 11583, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. repec:tcd:wpaper:tep16 is not listed on IDEAS
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Laxton, Doug & N'Diaye, Papa & Pesenti, Paolo, 2006. "Deflationary Shocks and Monetary Rules: An Open-Economy Scenario Analysis," CEPR Discussion Papers 5997, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Dennis P. J. Botman & Manmohan S. Kumar, 2007. "Global Aging Pressures: Impact of Fiscal Adjustment, Policy Cooperation, and Structural Reforms," IMF Working Papers 07/196, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  3. Dennis P. J. Botman & Dora M. Iakova, 2007. "Policy Challenges of Population Aging in Ireland," IMF Working Papers 07/247, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  4. Lorenzo Forni & Andrea Gerali & Massimiliano Pisani, 2009. "Macroeconomic effects of greater competition in the service sector: the case of Italy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 706, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  5. Nicoletta Batini & Pietro Cova & Massimiliano Pisani & Alessandro Rebucci, 2009. "Global Imbalances: The Role of Non-TradableTotal Factor Productivity in Advanced Economies," IMF Working Papers 09/63, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  6. Hali J. Edison & Papa M'B. P. N'Diaye & Dennis P. J. Botman, 2007. "Strategies for Fiscal Consolidation in Japan," IMF Working Papers 07/37, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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