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Deficit Limits, Budget Rules and Fiscal Policy Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Paolo Manasse
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The paper presents a simple model for discussing the effects of deficit limits and budget rules on fiscal policy. I find that limits on deficit-output ratios provide incentives to implement procyclical policies when the economy is in intermediate states, and countercyclical policies only in very "good" and very "bad" economic times. As a result, fiscal "reaction functions" are not monotonically related to the state of the economy. Deficit limits are found to exert discipline only provided the limit is tight and the expected sanction large, albeit at a relatively large welfare cost. Moreover, when fiscal choices are made under a veil of ignorance about the output gap, an increase in volatility is likely to raise the level of the budget deficit. Finally, concerning the design of fiscal frameworks, when excessive deficits arise from a political bias, deficit limits should be symmetric and not state-contingent.
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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number
05/120.
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Length: 19 pages
Date of creation: 27 Jun 2005Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:05/120Contact details of provider: Postal: International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA Phone: (202) 623-7000 Fax: (202) 623-4661 Email: Web page: http://www.imf.org/external/pubind.htm More information through EDIRC
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Keywords: Fiscal management ; Budget deficits ; Economic growth ; Economic stabilization ; Economic policy ; Economic models ; Other versions of this item:
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports :
References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Feldstein, Martin, 2005.
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Persson, Torsten & Roland, Gérard & Tabellini, Guido, 2004.
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CEPR Discussion Papers
4226, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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"How Do Electoral Rules Shape Party Structures, Government Coalitions, and Economic Policies? ,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
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"Optimal Regional Redistribution under Asymmetric Information ,"
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Other versions:
Bordignon, Massimo & Manasse, Paolo & Tabellini, Guido, 1996.
"Optimal Regional Redistribution Under Asymmetric Information ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
1437, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Massimo Bordignon & Paolo Manasse & Guido Tabellini, .
"Optimal Regional Redistribution Under Asymmetric Information ,"
Working Papers
93, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
[Downloadable!]
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references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Candelon, Bertrand & Muysken, Joan & Vermeulen, Robert, 2007.
"Fiscal Policy and Monetary Integration in Europe: An Update ,"
Research Memoranda
050, Maastricht : METEOR, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Paolo Manasse, 2006.
"Procyclical Fiscal Policy: Shocks, Rules, and Institutions - A View From MARS ,"
IMF Working Papers
06/27, International Monetary Fund.
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Xavier Debrun & Manmohan S. Kumar, 2007.
"The Discipline-Enhancing Role of Fiscal Institutions: Theory and Empirical Evidence ,"
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07/171, International Monetary Fund.
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Jacopo Cimadomo, 2008.
"Fiscal policy in real time ,"
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Other versions: Laura dos Reis & Paolo Manasse & Ugo Panizza, 2007.
"Targeting the Structural Balance ,"
RES Working Papers
4507, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
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