An Option-Based Approach to Bank Vulnerabilities in Emerging Markets
AbstractWe measure bank vulnerability in emerging markets using the distance-to-default, a risk-neutral indicator based on Merton''s (1974) structural model of credit risk. The indicator is estimated using equity prices and balance-sheet data for 38 banks in 14 emerging market countries. Results show it can predict a bank''s credit deterioration up to nine months in advance. The distance-to-default, hence, may prove useful for bank monitoring purposes.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 04/33.
Date of creation: 01 Feb 2004
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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2005-10-22 (All new papers)
- NEP-FIN-2005-10-22 (Finance)
- NEP-FMK-2005-10-22 (Financial Markets)
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