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Measuring Disinflation Credibility in Emerging Markets: A Bayesian Approach with an Application to Turkey

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Author Info
Alessandro Rebucci
Marco Rossi

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Abstract

This paper presents an empirical measure of disinflation credibility and discusses its evolution in Turkey since the 2001 crisis. The results indicate that credibility has improved markedly over this period, boding well for the future of disinflation in Turkey.

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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 04/208.

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Length: 13 pages
Date of creation: 12 Nov 2004
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:04/208

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Keywords: Disinflation ; Turkey ; Emerging markets ;

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Oya Celasun & R. Gaston Gelos & Alessandro Prati, 2004. "Obstacles to disinflation: what is the role of fiscal expectations?," Economic Policy, CEPR, CES, MSH, vol. 19(40), pages 441-481, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Agenor, Pierre-Richard & Taylor, Mark P, 1993. "Analysing Credibility in High-Inflation Countries: A New Approach," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 103(417), pages 329-36, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Mankiw, N Gregory & Miron, Jeffrey A & Weil, David N, 1987. "The Adjustment of Expectations to a Change in Regime: A Study of the Founding of the Federal Reserve," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 77(3), pages 358-74, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Alexandre Lowenkron & Marcio Gomes Pinto Garcia, 2007. "Monetary policy credibility and inflation risk premium: a model with application to Brazilian data," Textos para discussão 543, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil). [Downloadable!]
  2. Hakan Kara & Hande Kucuk Tuger & Umit Ozlale & Burc Tuger & Devrim Yavuz & Eray M. Yucel, 2005. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Turkey : Has it Changed and to What Extent?," Working Papers 0504, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-10-21.

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