The Cyclical and Long-Term Behavior of Government Expenditures in Developing Countries
Abstract
We examine the short- and long-term movements of government spending relative to output in 51 countries. We find that in the short term, the main components of government spending increase with output in about half of the sample countries, with some variation across spending categories and countries. Further, we find that there is a long-term relationship between government spending and output (in line with 'Wagner's law') for the majority of countries for at least one spending aggregate. In the short term, we find that power dispersion and government size typically dampen the positive response of government spending to output. Output volatility and financial risk, on the other hand, contribute to the procylicality of government spending.Download Info
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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number 04/202.Length: 59
Date of creation: 01 Oct 2004
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Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:04/202
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Keywords: Developing countries; Government expenditures;This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2005-10-22 (All new papers)
- NEP-MAC-2005-10-22 (Macroeconomics)
- NEP-PBE-2005-10-26 (Public Economics)
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Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.Cited by:
- Sarra Ben Slimane & Moez Ben Tahar, 2010. "Why Is Fiscal Policy Procyclical in MENA Countries?," Working Papers 566, Economic Research Forum, revised Nov 2010.
- International Monetary Fund, 2011. "The Cyclicality of Fiscal Policies in the CEMAC Region," IMF Working Papers 11/205, International Monetary Fund.
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"Tax Evasion, Technology Shocks, and the Cyclicality of Government Revenues,"
UFAE and IAE Working Papers
870.11, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC).
- Jordi Caballé & Judith Panadés, 2011. "Tax Evasion, Technology Shocks, and the Cyclicality of Government Revenues," Working Papers 546, Barcelona Graduate School of Economics.
- Panadés Martí Judith, 2009. "Tax Evasion, Technology Shocks and the Cyclicality of Government Revenues," Working Papers 201055, Fundacion BBVA / BBVA Foundation.
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"The determinants of public deficit volatility,"
Working Paper Series
1042, European Central Bank.
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- Paolo Manasse & Ugo Panizza & Laura Dos Reis, 2007.
"Targeting the Structural Balance ,"
IDB Publications
6722, Inter-American Development Bank.
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- Brahima Coulibaly, 2012. "Monetary policy in emerging market economies: what lessons from the global financial crisis?," International Finance Discussion Papers 1042, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Ugo Panizza & Dany Jaimovich, 2007. "Procyclicality or Reverse Causality?," Research Department Publications 4508, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
- Ugo Panizza & Dany Jaimovich, 2007. "Prociclicalidad o Causalidad Reversa?," Research Department Publications 4509, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
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